Ballon d'Or 2024: 4 Key reasons Vinicius Jr. might not win the award

Here are four key reasons that can stop Vinicius Jr. from winning the highly coveted Ballon d'Or Men's Player of the Year award 2024.

As football fans around the world anxiously await the 2024 Ballon d'Or winner to be announced later today, all eyes will be on the star-studded shortlist of players who have dominated the game in the past 12 months.

Vinícius Jr, the dynamic Brazilian winger for Real Madrid who has had a fantastic season, is one of the names creating the most hype. Nevertheless, despite Vinícius's skill on the field, there is rising anxiety that he might not win.

Having played a key role in Real Madrid's trophy-filled 2023–2024 season, Vinícius Jr. has a strong argument going into the Ballon d'Or ceremony. He is one of the most feared wingers in international football because he combines pace, technical talent, and inventiveness.

Despite Viní Jr's compelling case for the Ballon d'Or, the rivalry is more intense than ever in 2024, as we have seen a lot of youthful talents who have attained the peak of their abilities and seasoned veterans make up the top candidates.

Here are some reasons why fans worry that Vinicius might not win the Ballon d'Or Men's Player of the Year award 2024 tonight:

1. The Ballon d'Or's Bias Toward Central Players

Central players (goal-scorers, playmakers, and midfield generals who work through the middle of the pitch) have long been favoured by the Ballon d'Or.

Forwards and midfielders who contribute significantly to goals or assists have historically had a higher chance of winning the award.

Erling Haaland and Kylian Mbappe are favourites for this, as Haaland's remarkable tally for Manchester City and Mbappé's continued brilliance in front of goal for both PSG and Real Madrid have made them frontrunners in the race, potentially overshadowing the contributions of Vinícius.

2. National Team Performance and International Success

Ballon d'Or voting frequently heavily weighs international competitions, with voters considering players' national stage performances. In the 2024 Copa América, Vinícius had a few standout performances for Brazil, but his country did not win the cup.

Despite being competitive, Brazil's campaign ended in heartbreak when they lost in the tournament's closing rounds.

Other candidates for the Ballon d'Or had more successful experiences abroad. Players like Rodri, who led Spain to victory in the UEFA Nations League, and Lautaro Martínez, who played a crucial role in Argentina's Copa América win, achieved significant accomplishments with their national teams.

This additional success on the international stage may influence the Ballon d'Or voting, especially for players who have already won major international awards.

3. Fair Play Considerations and On-Field Discipline

The Ballon d'Or recognizes not only technical skill and achievements but also professionalism and fair play. While Vinícius Júnior's flair and competitive spirit are vital to his game, he has faced some disciplinary issues on the field.

His performances have sometimes been tainted by conflicts with opponents and incidents involving La Liga referees.

On the other hand, Rodri, recognized for his composed presence in midfield, is frequently lauded for his professionalism and fair play. These qualities can significantly influence voters who value candidates who exemplify not only skill but also integrity on the field.

4. Voting system

The Ballon d'Or award decision relies heavily on a voting system where journalists, coaches, players and football elites are given the chance to vote for the winner of the award. Given how divided the football community is regarding the winner of the award in 2024 it is expected that Vini jnr. doesn't get the required amount of votes to tip the scales in his favour.

Regardless of what the situation might be the influence of Vinicius jnr in reshaping African football can not go unnoticed with the Brazilian star showing that he is a force to be reckoned with.

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